A High-Growth Opportunity in the Footwear Sector

Discover a top footwear company's robust growth potential and strategic global expansion. With record sales, innovative products, and a strong balance sheet, this halal investment stands out in the dynamic footwear industry.

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Skechers USA, Inc. (NYSE: SKX) has consistently outperformed expectations with strong financial growth, innovative product offerings, and strategic global expansion. The company’s strengthening brand, resilience in the dynamic footwear industry and its proactive approach to digital transformation make it an attractive, long-term investment opportunity.

Analyst Ratings and Price Target

Skechers has received positive ratings from multiple analysts, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” Key points include:

  • Price Target: The average 12-month price target for Skechers is $78.74, with a high estimate of $88.00 and a low estimate of $60.00. This represents an average potential upside of approximately 13.02% from the current stock price of $69.17.
  • Recent Analyst Actions:
    • Deutsche Bank reiterated a “Buy” rating with a price target of $82.00.
    • Wells Fargo initiated coverage with an “Overweight” rating and a price target of $83.00.
    • Bank of America upgraded the stock from “Neutral” to “Buy” and raised the price target to $87.00.

Shariah Compliance

From a Shariah Compliance perspective, the company passes all 5 major standards we screen against. The business is halal, and it does not have any impure segments at the time of writing.

From an ethical perspective, the company has demonstrated its commitment to ESG principles.

Industry Outlook

As inflation comes down and interest rates are cut, we may see an increase in consumer spending. The global footwear market is projected to continue its growth trajectory, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.3% from 2023 to 2030. The market size, valued at USD 387.74 billion in 2022, is expected to reach USD 530.3 billion by 2028. Key drivers of this growth include rising disposable incomes, increased consumer spending on fashion and lifestyle products, and the growing popularity of online retail channel.

Company Highlights

  • Record Sales and Earnings: Skechers reported record annual sales of $8.00 billion for 2023, reflecting a 7.5% year-over-year increase. Net earnings were $545.8 million, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.49, a 46.6% increase from the previous year​.
  • Strong Balance Sheet: As of Q1 2024, Skechers holds $1.39 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, showcasing strong liquidity and financial stability​​.
  • Robust Operating Margin: The company achieved an operating margin of 9.8% in 2023, driven by effective cost management and increased operational efficiency​​.
  • Brand Recognition: Skechers has built a reputable brand recognized for comfort, style, and affordability. Effective marketing campaigns have enhanced its brand visibility.

Strategic Initiatives

  1. Product Innovation: Skechers is known for its cutting-edge comfort technology and sustainable product offerings, catering to the growing consumer demand for both performance and eco-friendly footwear.
  2. E-commerce Growth: The company has significantly enhanced its digital capabilities, with direct-to-consumer sales growing by 24.3% in 2023. This shift towards online sales not only boosts margins but also strengthens customer engagement​.
  3. Global Expansion: With a strategic focus on international markets, Skechers has expanded its global footprint to 1,085 international stores by the end of 2023. The acquisition of its Scandinavian distributor is expected to further bolster its presence in Europe​.

Valuation and Market Potential

  • Valuation Metrics: Skechers’ current trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 18.38, which is somewhat undervalued to its peers. The company’s projected EPS growth supports a robust valuation.
  • Growth Potential: With projected sales between $8.60 and $8.80 billion for 2024, Skechers is well-positioned to capitalize on market trends and deliver strong financial performance.

Risks

  • Intense Competition: Skechers operates in a highly competitive market, facing strong competition from major brands like Nike, which have larger marketing budgets and more established brand loyalty​.
  • Economic Sensitivity: As a consumer discretionary company, Skechers is sensitive to economic cycles. During economic downturns, consumers may reduce spending on non-essential items, impacting sales​.
  • Supply Chain Challenges: The company could face supply chain disruptions, which have been a challenge for many global companies recently. These disruptions could lead to increased costs and delays in product availability, affecting sales and profitability​​.

Risk Mitigation

While Skechers faces competition, economic sensitivity, and supply chain challenges, its strong financial health, innovative product strategy, and market diversification mitigate these risks effectively. The company’s proactive approach to managing these challenges supports its long-term growth prospects.

Conclusion

Skechers USA, Inc. (NYSE: SKX) presents a compelling buy opportunity. The company’s robust financial performance, innovative product offerings, strategic global expansion, and commitment to sustainability position it well for continued success. With a favorable industry outlook and strong growth potential, Skechers is an excellent addition to your investment portfolio.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and does not constitute individual investment advice.

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Picture of Faraz Omar, CSAA, MBA
Faraz Omar, CSAA, MBA
AAOIFI Certified Shariah Advisor & Auditor
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